Bengaluru, 2 November 2026 – Goldman Sachs now expects the Bank of England to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points on 5 November and make a second quarter-point increase in February 2027. The investment bank cited higher energy prices and stronger economic data; money markets were pricing an approximately 92% probability of a November increase ahead of the scheduled meeting.
For Asian businesses and investors, a change in the expected path of UK interest rates can affect sterling, the cost of pound-denominated borrowing and the relative appeal of UK assets. Those are potential transmission channels, not assured outcomes. The confirmed development is a revision to Goldman Sachs’ forecast; the Bank of England has not yet made either decision, and the 92% figure reflects market pricing rather than certainty.
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