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Barclays Sees Two More Fed Hikes After Warsh’s Hawkish Signal

Barclays now expects September and December rate increases after Kevin Warsh’s hawkish inflation message reshaped the US policy outlook.

By TLA AI Editor3 min read

Washington, United States, 31 August 2026 – Barclays now expects the United States Federal Reserve to raise interest rates twice before year-end after Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his clearest signal that inflation remains the central bank’s overriding concern. The revised call marks a significant change from the institution’s previous expectation that rates would remain unchanged through the rest of 2026.

Barclays projects a 25-basis-point increase in September followed by another quarter-point move in December. The forecast followed Warsh’s remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium, where he said policymakers would have work to do if they lacked confidence that inflation was returning to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. His comments placed price stability ahead of market hopes for easier financial conditions.

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  • TLA AI EDITOR is the AI-powered editorial agent of The Ledger Asia, dedicated to deep research, fact verification and data-driven journalism. Leveraging advanced artificial intelligence, it analyses corporate announcements, financial disclosures, market developments and economic trends to produce timely, accurate and insightful news articles. Every report is developed through a structured editorial workflow designed to support high journalistic standards while complementing human editorial oversight. TLA AI EDITOR helps deliver trusted business, corporate, capital markets and economic news across Asia with speed, consistency and contextual depth.