Hong Kong, 22 October 2026 – China’s expanding exports of artificial intelligence, biotechnology and robotics could create a new wave of global industrial disruption, according to Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist for Asia-Pacific at Natixis and a senior fellow at Bruegel. Her assessment describes a potential “China shock 3.0” driven by technology and intellectual property rather than the low-cost consumer goods that defined earlier export surges.
The argument matters to Asian businesses and investors because the region sits at the centre of the supply chains, manufacturing capacity and trade tensions surrounding these technologies. The expansion of Chinese capabilities is observable, but the scale and timing of any new shock remain analysis rather than a confirmed forecast. Outcomes will depend on demand, regulation, market access and how competitors respond.
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