Dubai, 20 October 2026 – HSBC Holdings plc Group Chief Executive Georges Elhedery said alternative logistics routes being developed across the Gulf could make the Strait of Hormuz redundant within about five years. His assessment follows severe disruption to a waterway that carried roughly one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas trade before the conflict, exposing the cost of relying on a single maritime chokepoint.
For Asian businesses and investors, the outlook matters because Gulf energy supplies remain central to refinery feedstock, electricity generation and industrial costs across the region. Elhedery’s five-year timeframe is a strategic judgment rather than a confirmed project schedule. The investment opportunity is real, but any reduction in Hormuz dependence will depend on pipelines, ports, railways and storage facilities being financed, approved and completed at sufficient scale.
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