Washington, 26 August 2026 – The global economy is absorbing high debt, stubborn inflation and trade tensions while artificial-intelligence investment provides a powerful source of demand. International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said activity had weathered the Iran-related energy shock better than feared, but fiscal deterioration and stalled disinflation remain significant concerns.
The institution’s July outlook projected global growth of 3.0 per cent in 2026 and 3.4 per cent in 2027, below the 3.5 per cent average recorded in 2024 and 2025. The forecast presents a world economy that remains resilient but lacks strong policy buffers.
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