Tokyo, 16 September 2026 – The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its policy rate to 1.25%, which would be the highest level in about 31 years, as persistent inflation pushes monetary policy further from its ultra-easy era. The move remains a market expectation until the policy board votes and publishes its decision.
The central bank raised the benchmark rate to 1.0% in June, its highest since 1995, after energy costs and currency weakness intensified price pressure. A further 25-basis-point increase would extend normalisation and test borrowers accustomed to exceptionally cheap funding.
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