Kuala Lumpur, 19 October 2026 – Economists expect Malaysia’s export growth to moderate in the fourth quarter as favourable base effects fade and trade tensions weigh on momentum. The outlook follows a 54.5% year-on-year increase in September exports, the fastest pace in more than five years, while total trade rose 53.7% to RM396.5 billion.
For Malaysian businesses and investors, moderation would not necessarily mean that external demand is contracting. The September figures are confirmed, while the fourth-quarter path is a forecast shaped by comparison effects, electronics demand, commodity prices and trade policy. Companies should distinguish slower growth rates from an outright decline in export values or orders.
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