Bangkok, 18 October 2026 – Artificial-intelligence investment has become a major support for global growth and trade, but policymakers at the 2026 International Monetary Fund and World Bank Annual Meetings warned that dependence on one technology cycle could amplify a market correction. The Fund estimated that weaker AI investment could reduce global GDP by 0.4% by 2028.
For Asian businesses and investors, the debate matters because the region supplies semiconductors, electronics, data-centre equipment and digital services to the AI economy. The 0.4% scenario is a modelled risk, not a forecast. Actual outcomes will depend on corporate earnings, financing conditions, adoption and whether investment produces durable productivity gains.
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